Red Deer Market Update – Jan 7/11

Market Update to Dec. 31/10 Red Deer
Price Range All

Active

Pending Active 1 Year Ago Sold MTD

Dec. 23/10

Sold MTD

Dec. 31/10

Sold MTD

Dec. 31/09

< 100 18 1 18 5 6 4
100 – 150 32 1 28 7 8 2
150 – 200 54 2 40 11 11 5
200 – 250 66 3 66 14 14 14
250 – 300 87 8 82 25 26 17
300 – 325 36 4 43 10 12 11
325 – 350 28 0 35 5 7 8
350 – 375 25 1 23 4 4 6
375 – 400 33 1 33 2 2 7
400 – 450 35 2 27 6 6 7
450 – 500 22 1 20 2 2 1
500+ 47 2 44 1 1 3
Total 483 26 459 92 99 85
Avg. Price $321,824. $320,979. $270,130. $268,818. $298,512.
Days On Market 69 59 60 62 50

Market Update – We hear lots of words these days describing the local economy… slow and steady, modest, gradual, flat line, weakness, fall short, stronger, picking up …. etc. etc. 

When I look around me, things appear pretty normal in central Alberta.  Stores are busy, restaurants are busy and the streets and highways are full of traffic. 

One of the measures of a healthy economy is strong consumer confidence.  Imagine, if the average guy on the street has confidence, it can make a difference in the economy. 

We need to be careful not to over-analyze things too much sometimes.  Sometimes we need to forget all the negative stuff we hear from the media and just act like things are normal. 

Modest GDP Growth Kicks Off Q4 by Todd Hirsch, Senior Economist, ATB Financial 

It may have dipped into negative territory during the final month of the third quarter, but Canada’s GDP kicked off the fourth quarter with a month of positive, albeit modest, growth. 

In October, the national economy expanded by 0.2% (month-over-month, and adjusted for seasonality). 

Oil and gas extraction expanded by 1.3%, almost entirely on the strength of natural gas. Support activities for mining and oil and gas extraction rebounded (+9.9%) from its September decline. 

That pace of activity bodes well for Alberta. While monthly GDP figures are not reported for the provincial economies, Alberta is the dominant region for Canada’s oil and gas sector, and related support activities. The strong energy sector related activity— prompted by stronger oil prices— suggests that Alberta’s economy is picking up momentum. 

Other Canadian sectors to post gains were real estate, the public sector, wholesale trade and transportation. Contractions were seen in manufacturing, construction, utilities, retail trade, and finance and insurance. 

While the 0.2% expansion of the Canadian economy does represent a return to positive territory, it did fall a bit short of economists’ expectations (+0.3%). The underlying weakness in the US economy, which greatly affects Canadian exports, as well as the high Canadian dollar continue to weigh heavily on growth. Excluding natural resources, the economy has flat-lined. 

This morning’s GDP report is unlikely to prompt the Bank of Canada to raise rates at its next Fixed Announcement Date (January 18, 2011). If anything, it could encourage the central bank to hold off on rate increases until much later next year.

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